Las reservas de los países de la OCDE se situaban en septiembre en máximos históricos, cerca de 3.000 millones de barriles.
La AIE anticipa un frenazo del crecimiento de la demanda de petróleo en 2016.
INTERNACIONAL |La Agencia Internacional de la Energía (AIE) prevé que la demanda mundial de petróleo crecerá en 2016 a un ritmo de 1,2 millones de barriles diarios (mb/d), frente a la expansión de 1,8 mb/d correspondiente a 2015, cuando el consumo de crudo creció a su mayor ritmo en cinco años, según destaca la última edición del boletín mensual de la entidad.Según los pronósticos de la agencia adscrita a la Organización para la Cooperación y el Desarrollo Económico (OCDE), la demanda global de petróleo alcanzará los 94,92 millones de barriles al día en el primer trimestre de 2016 y cerrará el próximo año en 96,7 mb/d.En cuanto a la oferta, la AIE señala que en octubre superó los 97 mb/d, después de que el suministro de que los países ajenos a la Organización de Países Exportadores de Petróleo (OPEP) se recuperasen desde los bajos niveles del mes anterior.No obstante, a pesar de la resiliencia de productores de fuera de la OPEP como Rusia, la AIE prevé que el suministro de estos países se contraiga en más de 0,6 mb/d el próximo año, principalmente porque el suministro de crudo ligero no convencional de EEUU, el principal responsable del crecimiento de la oferta ajena a la OPEP, bajará en 600.000 barriles al día en 2016, según los cálculos de la agencia.
En el caso del suministro de la OPEP, durante el mes de octubre se mantuvo estable en 31,76 mb/d, con descensos en Irak y Kuwait, compensados por el incremento observado en Libia, Arabia Saudí y Nigeria.
Por otro lado, a finales el pasado mes de septiembre, los inventarios comerciales de los países de la OCDE aumentaron en 13,8 millones de barriles, hasta un récord de cerca de 3.000 millones de barriles.
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